Friday, 25 November 2011
Strong Is Beautiful: Sam Stosur
Once again, another very low price for an ATP Tour Finals game today. If only every week was like this for ATP matches, I'm having a great week taking advantage of these over-reactions. I fully expect another tight game for Djokovic. Tipsarevic has nothing to play for but he'll want to end his season with a huge scalp and there's no doubt that he can beat a less than impressive world number one right now. 1.36 SP is worth a lay from the off as I think Tipsarevic will push for at least one set. Don't think just because they are mates that Janko will let his fellow Serb have an easy ride to the semi final.
The evening game sees Berdych needing to win to have any chance of qualifying, whilst Ferrer is already through. Ferrer normally gives his all in every single game but will he still do so today? I'm not so sure but there is definite advantage in topping the group - he won't have to play Federer in the semi. Therefore, this is one to watch in-play and read the game.