Thursday, 27 December 2012

Tennis Is Back!!!

After a well-earned rest, I'm now champing at the bit for the start of what I hope will be the season which cements my progress as a long-term, consistently profitable tennis trader. I won't do another list of New Year's Resolutions, as my goals for 2013 are very simple: build the bank up to 5 figures and remain consistently profitable. There isn't anything I feel desperately needs working on to make that happen and as I have been saying for a while now, if I am thorough, professional and my head is in the right place, I will make money - it's now just a matter of how much.

The tennis season starts officially on the 29th December, when the annual Hopman Cup mixed-gender team event, takes place in Perth, Australia. However, the first Betfair tennis markets will be open on the 27th, for the Mubadala Exhibition in Abu Dhabi, as Andy Murray starts the ball rolling. I'm sure many traders will not want to trade this as it is nothing more than a warm up but I like to play it. Firstly, it is a nice warm up for me too. After such a long break from trading, throwing yourself straight back into serious action can bring up issues such as rustiness. Best to get acclimatised for a couple of matches, get a feel for the markets and the routine again. Secondly, these tournaments can throw up excellent trading opportunities. Last year, the big 3 attended. Federer simply wasn't up for it and it showed starkly in his performance, making him an easy lay. On the other hand, Djokovic looked sharp and took it very seriously, which prompted me to back him immediately to win the Australian Open - which he did. No Fed this year and Nadal has had to pull out with a stomach illness, so we should get a nice Murray-Djokovic final already, to look forward to.

The WTA and ATP tour main draw matches get underway on December 30th and there is no easing slowly into things, with a glut of events during week 1; Brisbane, Chennai and Doha for the men and Brisbane and Auckland for the women. I tend to wait until week 2 before switching my schedule and turning my life upside down for 3 weeks to trade in Oz time. With Chennai, Doha and Hopman Cup all on at more reasonable hours GMT, it means I can postpone the midnight starts and 9am finishes for a little longer! January is not the most enjoyable time to be a tennis trader but it's something I've gotten used to, liquidity is still always good and the climax of the Australian Open, is my favourite Grand Slam. What you do always get in January, is a high standard of tennis. Players are usually in peak condition, are raring to go after the break and so you'll find matches are of a better quality across the board.

I too, am raring to go. I badly needed the break but the last 2 weeks have left me itching to get back on the ladders. I had a good December thanks to James Arthur winning The X Factor (as predicted here!) and QPR were doing me proud until today, when they lost at home to West Brom (though suffered from a truly awful refereeing decision for the 2nd goal). They are now 6 points from safety but I still feel they will put a run together at some point which will save them. Reading will go down and whilst Wigan and Southampton remain just a couple of wins away, there is plenty of time for Harry to work his magic - though he badly needs new players in the transfer window. Can't say it's been much fun pretending to be a Rangers fan though! This is certainly not the way to enjoy your Saturday afternoons and this long-term market trading thing definitely isn't for me. Roll-on the tennis, I cannot wait!!

Sania Mirza:


  1. Welcome back, Sultan, I hope your break has, indeed, recharged your batteries and that you are able to attack 2013 with newly found zeal and gusto.

    I think, however, that your trip might have had repercussions on your vision and I would advise a visit to specsavers post haste!

    The rest of the world clearly saw the QPR goalie retreat from a position of at least a yard in-field of his goalline to about the same behind it, thus allowing the Brummie attacker to merely stand his ground and allow the second goal. Harry's eyesight we can excuse: he is getting on a bit..... yours is clearly at fault though I'm afraid to say :-)

  2. You've been listening to Alan 'Striker's Union' Shearer too much He did go behind his line but was then backed into to make sure he stayed there - that's my view anyway! 'Standing his ground' is just striker's speak for 'obstructing overprotected goalkeeper' :)

  3. That's as maybe Sultan, but for once I think Lord Shearer has called this one right! Can you obstruct a man who's voluntarily left the pitch I wonder? Or is the in goal area still on the pitch? No idea - but 'arry 'as his work cut out now imho :-)

  4. I watched the match live and so saw it replayed a lot of times and all of the comms and pundits watching live thought it was a clear foul. I guess it's one of those that will split opinion :)

    Having watched QPR's last 5 games, I'm confident they will not cast themselves too far adrift to get out of trouble. The only game where they truly deserved to lose, was the Newcastle game and they were 10 mins from getting a draw there. Unfortunately, they couldn't hold onto the lead against Wigan - a win there would've made a huge difference. But I feel they will only get better and several other teams will get worse or tread water - Norwich, Villa, Southampton, Sunderland, maybe Fulham and Wigan.

  5. Going to lay them in the Relegation market, Sultan? They sit at 1.51 tonight, with games against Liverpool and Chelsea coming up.....

  6. They are better value now! If I hadn't already taken them, I would wait till after those two games, then lay. Unfortunately, I'm already involved but have layed some off.

  7. Haha! After writing my comment, and reflecting on the content, I couldn't resist a back at 1.51! If they dip below 1.25 after the Blues smash them on Wednesday then I'll be prepared to put up a decent lay stake and watch Harry's magic at work.

    1. Ouch! Should've listened to what I said ;)

  8. Prepare yourself for one of the shocks of the season.............I predict Chelsea 1 QPR 1!!


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